Hi Pityocamptes:
I will chime in here only because my previous home was a hi-rancher of 1900 square feet built in 1973 and I did each and every one of the jobs you have listed to it.
Doing quick calculations in my head and looking at each item I am guessing $50-60K for everything ~ far less depending on how involved you get and where you need to pay a pro. Could be far less if you do things like shop your carpet/installation, do your own tile work, install your own formica counters paint cabinets instead of replace, etc - etc. You will likely need a pro for the A/C, figure $8k for a high quality system pro installed if you can duct through the attic into the ceiling and a few thousand higher if the ducting gets complicated.
Consider painting exterior yourself for $40 bucks a gallon. Painting contractors can be expensive and your likely to do a better job yourself. Consider a good two coats of high quality ceiling paint before trying to scrape off popcorn ceiling. Consider painting wood paneling or covering it with "paintable wallpaper" before ripping it out and trying to refinish. High quality windows will hit you $500 a piece depending on size. Installing your own tile and bath fixtures are fairly easy. In a 1973 home it is likely you will need to go to the studs around your tub/shower and replace with cement board. You are likely to find wood subfloor rot around the toilets. Usually not a big deal. I wouldnt "reglaze" a bathtub again ours only lasted a couple years. The kitchen will be pricey unless what you have is workable/reconditionable. Completely replacing cabinets/countertops will shell shock you to the tune of $15k more or less depending on size.
Bottom line, get an appraiser and real estate agent you know and trust. Try to figure out if the seller has depreciated any of this stuff when he calculated his asking price. If you dont justify your offer properly, you run the risk of insulting the seller and getting ignored.
I would make a detailed list of what you want and take a drive to the local home improvement center with a calculator, that will give a better idea and you can pick/choose to your taste/level of involvement.
Good luck
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