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Old 03-19-2014, 10:21 AM  
nealtw
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There are a few things some people are not talking about, and I agree they might be kept secret for a reason but some is just bs.
They say ,you have to be in the cockpit to program the computer and few would know how. Instruction are on the web so even I could do it and I doubt that the computer is in the dash of the airplane. If the computer is else about on the plane, then someone else could have changed the coarse and maybe not noticed.



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Old 03-19-2014, 10:21 AM  
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For your chance of getting struck by lightning each year see http://www.amazon.com/Risk-Practical-Deciding-Really-Dangerous/dp/0618143726
unless some supreme being has it in for you.

The Decision Theory approach
http://www.amazon.com/Making-Decisions-Edition-Dennis-Lindley/dp/0471908088
is to list all the possibilities and then assign a likelihood to each and they have to add to 100%. These change with new information, see
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bayes'_theorem

Currently, my take is that the Plane crashed on water outcome is less likely than Plane crashed on land in jungle outcome and the plane can't still be flying so let's say

Plane crashed on land in jungle - 50
Plane crashed on water - 10
Plane landed somewhere OK - 40
or
Plane crashed on land in jungle - 55
Plane crashed on water - 5
Plane landed somewhere OK - 40

Also, Plane landed OK on water but then sunk and not one cell call got through. 2%?



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Old 03-19-2014, 10:43 AM  
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It could be a pilot, but I still think givin what we know about 911, a pilot might send his plane into the wild blue.

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Old 03-19-2014, 11:50 AM  
Wuzzat?
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Forgot willful vs accident - These are not ranked in any order:

Plane crashed on land in jungle intentionally
Plane crashed on water intentionally
Plane landed somewhere OK intentionally
Plane crashed on land in jungle unintentionally
Plane crashed on water unintentionally
Plane landed somewhere OK unintentionally


"Watson, as I have said, whenever all other possibilities have been ruled out, the improbable, however unlikely, must be the truth. I must say that this case is surely singular in all my experience, however."

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Old 03-19-2014, 01:55 PM  
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Where or how do you hide the plane in plain site.

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Old 03-19-2014, 02:05 PM  
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Quote:
Originally Posted by nealtw View Post
Where or how do you hide the plane in plain site.
How do you hide it? Paint it. It's in either Pakistan or Iran. The pilots reduced cabin pressure to make the passangers incapable of comandering the plane. It's sitting on the ground waiting for a yet to be disclosed terriorst plot. Am I right? Who knows at this point, but I'll venture a guess it didn't crash and I will guess there's a lot of info not being released.
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Old 03-19-2014, 02:09 PM  
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Taxi it into the woods and use a huge motha' of a tarp?
A few guys could quickly cover the plane with the kind of camo-netting-covers you see in war movies.

Dying from lack of oxygen is quite pleasant and I know this because I took a high altitude test while in Air Force. The air pressure was equivalent to 40,000' and you wonder why you are taking such deep breaths but you can get the same effect with a bag over your head.
Forget about doing simple addition and subtraction, which is what they asked us to do.
I guess the instructors in the chamber were watching for panic attacks.

That chamber was built like a brick outhouse. And it had to be, at ~12 lbs per SF of surface area and the thing must have been 10' x 10' x 8'.

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Old 03-19-2014, 02:11 PM  
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Someone could have had new labeling for it and changed that pretty quick and parked in a line of big planes un-noticed.

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Old 03-19-2014, 02:13 PM  
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Yep Neal, hide it where everyone is least likely to look for it, right under their noses.

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Old 03-19-2014, 02:19 PM  
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It's not like nobody ever hid an airplane before, black market parts would be worth a bunch but I think there would be easier ways to steel the plane, I do think it is lost.



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